Thursday, January 22, 2015

Why Ospina should keep his Arsenal place ahead of Szczesny

          Arsenal’s Wojciech Szczesny has spent the last few games on the bench having been dropped in place of Colombian goal keeper David Ospina who has kept three clean sheets against Hull City in the FA Cup, and Stoke City and Manchester City in the Premier League since stepping in. While Ospina’s opportunity may have come about due to Szczesny’s transgressions off the pitch, a quick look at the performance of both keepers over the two prior seasons suggests that Ospina has maintained a stronger record between the posts.

Ospina vs Szczesny Goal Keeper Statistics over the past two seasons:

          In the 2012/2013 season, Ospina averaged 1.81 saves per goal conceded (while at Nice in France’s Ligue 1) while Szczesny averaged 1.75 saves per goal for Arsenal. Goals conceded per 90 were almost equal for both keepers at 1.02 and 0.96 for Ospina and Szcsesny respectively. During the more recent 2013/2014 season, Ospina completely out-performed Arsenal’s Polish Custodian in the saves per goal category with 3.39 compared to Szczesny’s 1.95, and also conceded fewer goals per 90 (0.91 compared to 1.11). Given Ospina’s statistical superiority over the past two seasons as well as a strong performance at the 2014 World Cup, he is certainly deserving of an opportunity to show what he can do at Arsenal, and so far he is off to a good start.

Monday, January 19, 2015

Scouting Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A


Key Soccerlytics Insights:
  • Cruzeiro has the highest Average Player Value (APV) in the Brazilian Serie A at €3.16M, which is 259% higher than the league's €0.88M APV
  • The APV of the top 25 players aged 23 years old or younger is €2.68M 
    • Of the 25 players, 5 play for Flamengo, the most of any one club in the league
    • Lucas Silva (pictured above right) and Mayke (pictured above left) both of Cruzeiro have the have the highest transfer market values (TMVs) among the u23s
    • 3 out of the top 25 players are not Brazilian: Palmeiras' Argentine midfielder Agustin Allione, Flamengo's Argentine attacking midfielder Lucas Mugni and Cruzeiro's Cameroonian Striker Joel
  • The APV of the top 25 players aged 19 years old younger is €0.53M
    • Of the 25 players, 5 play for Gremio, the most of any one club in the league
    • Vasco's striker Thalles and Santos' support-striker Gabriel have the highest TMVs in this category at €2.5M and €1M respectively
    • 11 out of the top 25 most highly valued players aged 19 or younger are currently  partaking in the 2014 South American Youth Football Championship in Uruguay

Top 25 Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A aged 23 years old or younger


Top 25 Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A aged 19 years old or younger

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A (€0.88M) Index as of 1/19/2015 (Market Value data from Transfermarkt.com

Sunday, January 18, 2015

Scouting the Colombian Categoria Primera A

Key Soccerlytics Insights:
  • Atletico Nacional has the highest Average Player Value (APV) in the Colombian Categoria Primera A at €0.53M, which is 84% higher than the league's average of €0.29M
    • Millonarios FC (€0.47M) has the second highest APV Index at 62% to the Categoria's €0.29M average
    • 6 other clubs (Independiente Santa Fe, Atletico Junior, Deportivo Cali, Independiente Medellin, Deportes Tolima and Aguilas Doradas) make up the 8 clubs with a higher APV than the league average
    • Boyaca Patriotas FC (€0.11M) has the lowest APV in the league, 60% below the Colombian Categoria Primera A
  • The APV of the top 25 players aged 23 years or younger in the Colombian league is €0.49M
    • Of the 25 players, 4 play for Atletico Nacional, the most of any one club in the country
    • Atletico Nacional's Sebastian Perez (pictured above) and Santa Fe's Juan Daniel Roa have the 2 highest TMVs (transfer market values) in the league at €1M and €0.8M respectively
    • Only one of the top 25 players is not Colombian: CD La Equidad's Uruguayan Left winger Matias Jones valued at €0.45M

Top 25 Colombian Categoria Primera A players aged 23 years old or younger

Colombian Categoria Primera A Average Player Value (€0.29M) Index as of 1/18/2015 (Market Value data from Transfermarkt.com

Thursday, January 15, 2015

Scouting the Campeonato Uruguayo

Key Soccerlytics Insights:
  • The APV (average player value) of the top 25 players aged 23 years old or younger in the Uruguayan Primera Division is €1.02M
    • Of the 25 players, 6 play for Montevideo Wanderers, the most of any one club in the league
    • Nacional Montevideo's Gonzalo Bueno and Defensor Sporting Club's Giorgian De Arrascaeta (pictured above) have the 2 highest transfer market values (TMVs) at €2.5M and €2M respectively
    • Only one out of the top 25 players isn't Uruguayan: CA Fenix' Ecuadorian right-back John Narvaez, valued at €1.2M
  • The APV of the top 21 players aged 19 years old or younger in the Uruguayan Primera Division is €0.37M
    • Of the 21 players, 5 play for Danubio FC, the most of any one club in the league
    • Nacional Montevideo's Gaston Pereiro and CA Fenix' Franco Costa have the 2 highest TMVs at €1.1M and €1M respectively
      • Pereiro and Costa are the only u19 players to feature in the top 25 u23 list
    • 10 out of the top 21 most highly valued players aged 19 or younger are currently partaking in the 2015 South American Youth Football Championships (U-20)
      • Pereiro, Acosta, Baez, Faber, Cotugno, Nandez, Sequeira, Cobaco, Bone and Arambarri are currently on International duty in Uruguay

Top 25 Campeanato Uruguayo players aged 23 or younger

Top 21 Campeonato Uruguayo players aged 19 or younger

Campeanato Uruguayo Average Player Value (€0.3M) Index as of 1/16/2015 (Market Value Data from Transfermarkt.com)

Wednesday, January 14, 2015

Scouting the Argentine Primera Division

Key Soccerlytics Insights:
  • The APV (average player value) of the top 25 players aged 23 years old or younger in the Argentine Primera League is €1.7M
    • Of the 25 players, 6 play for River Plate, the most of any one club in Argentina
    • Racing Club's Ricardo Centurion and San Lorenzo's Hector Villalba have the 2 highest TMVs (transfer market values) at €3.7M and €3.6M respectively
    • 3 out of the 25 players are non-Argentine: River Plate's Eder Balanta (Colombian centre back), Tigre's Jose Correa (Colombian striker) and Paraguay's Jorge Rojas (Paraguayan winger)
  • The APV of the top 16 players aged 19 years old or younger in the Argentine Primera League is €0.3M
    • Of the 16 players, 4 play for River Plate, the most of any one club in Argentina
    • River Plate's Giovanni Simeone and Velez Sarsfield's Facundo Cardozo have the 2 highest TMVs at €2M and €0.75M respectively
      • Giovanni Simeone (son of Atletico Madrid Coach and former Argentine International Diego Simeone) is the only U19 player also ranked among the 25 most highly valued U23 players
    • 8 out of the 16 players aged 19 or younger are currently participating in the 2015 South American Youth Football Championships (U-20)
      • Simeone, Cardozo, Monteseirin,Rolon, Martinez, Batalla, Contreras and Devecchi are all currently part of the Argentina Squad in Uruguay
Top 25 Argentine Primera League players aged 23 or younger

Top 16 Argentine Primera League players aged 19 or younger

Argentine Primera Division Average Player Value (€0.46M) Index as of 1/14/2015 (Market Value data from Transfermarkt.com)




Scouting the Chilean Primera Division

Key Soccerlytics Insights:
  • Universidad de Chile has the highest Average Player Value (APV) in the Chilean Primera Division at €0.51M, which is 127% higher than the league's average of €0.23M
    • Colo Colo (€0.43M) has the second highest APV Index at 91.86% to La Primera's €0.23M average
    • 5 other clubs (Universidad Catolica, Union Espanola, Santiago Wanderers, Audax Italiano and Universidad Concepcion) make up the 7 clubs with a higher APV than the league average
    • AC Barnechea (€0.04M) has the lowest APV in the league, 82% below the Chilean Primera League's average
  • The APV of the of the top 25 players aged 23 years or younger in the Chilean league is €0.36M
    • Of the 25 players, 7 play for Universidad Catolica, the most of any one club in the country
    • Universidad Catolica's Stefano Magnasco and Universidad de Chile's Bryan Cortes have the 2 highest TMVs (transfer market values) at €0.9M and €0.7M respectively
    • 2 out of the top 25 players are non-Chilean: Universidad de Chile's Uruguayan midfielder (pictured above) valued at €0.55M and CD O'Higgins' Uruguayan striker Octavio Rivero valued at €0.33M (recently signed with Vancouver Whitecaps FC of Major League Soccer)
      • Catolica's Matias Jadue was born in Chile of Palestinian descent, and may represent the Palestinian National Team
Top 25 Chilean Primera League players aged 23 years old or younger

Chilean Primera Division Average Player Value (€0.23M) Index as of 1/14/2015 (Market Value data from Transfermarkt.com)

Thursday, January 8, 2015

Scouting Africa's Top Talent: Top 25 players aged 23 or younger participating in AFCON 2015


  • The average player value (APV) of the top 25 players aged 23 years old or younger participating in the upcoming AFCON tournament in Equatorial Guinea is about €4M  
    • Some of these players represent true value and could go on to be true world-class professionals for clubs willing and shrewd enough to invest
  • Of the top 25 players, 6 are from Algeria, 5 from Ghana, 4 from Ivory Coast, 3 from Guinea, 2 from Cameroon and 1 each from Senegal, Tunisia, Burkina Faso, Congo republic and DR Congo
  • Serge Aurier (PSG|Ivory Coast) and Sadio Mane (Southampton|Senegal) both have the highest current market value at €10M 
  • 22 out of the 25 players already ply their trade in one of Europe's top 5 leagues and the remaining 3 all play for Anderlecht in Belgium
  • Not taking age into consideration, the top 5 players in terms of current transfer market value participating at the AFCON tournament are as follows (4 out of 5 represent Ivory Coast):
    • Yaya Toure - €30M|Ivory Coast|Manchester City
    • Seydou Doumbia - €25M|Ivory Coast|CSKA Moscow
    • Gervinho - €18.5M|Ivory Coast|AS Roma
    • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang - €17M|Gabon|Borussia Dortmund
    • Wilfried Bony - €17M|Ivory Coast|Swansea City (close to signing a deal with Manchester City)
  • The APV of the top 17 players participating in AFCON 2015 aged 20 years old or younger is €1.2M 
    • Chancel Mbemba (Congo DR|Anderlecht) and Abdul Rahman Baba (Ghana|FC Augsburg) have the 2 highest TMVs (Transfer Market Values) in this category at €6M and €3M respectively
    • Of the 17 players in this category, 3 represent Cameroon, the most of any one country
Top 25 players aged 23 or younger participating in AFCON 2015

Top 17 players aged 20 or younger participating in AFCON 2015